In my personal opinion, I have a vast amount of knowledge surrounding the game of baseball. Absorbing stats, learning more about the background of each player, and understanding the importance of a pitcher’s duel all have their roles when it comes to betting on baseball.
One analogy that immediately comes to mind involves the 2015 Houston Astros. They’ve had one of the best records in Major League Baseball this year, but few believed they would ever do anything after moving to the American League. This is with good reason, considering they’ve lost over 100 games a few times over the last five years.
However, some gamblers have cashed in on their recent success, and did so before the sports world caught on to their potential. The naked eye tells us they’ve been horrible, and on the surface, it doesn’t look like much has changed to their team. However, what if I told you they have had 3 No. 1 draft picks over the last 5 years. Two of them are having a major impact in 2015.
Slowly they’ve been rebuilding their team, and even though the players wouldn’t be considered household names, this is quickly changing.
The Problem with Betting Baseball
In other articles, we’ve shared the idea that knowledge is crucial to betting on sports. When it comes to baseball, it’s a must if you want to build a winning strategy. The biggest issue is you have to learn more about each match-up. This is not by teams either; instead it is the opposing pitcher against each batter.
How well does he pitch against left-handers? Does he throw a pitch that half of the batting order will struggle to hit? Does the team allow their starting rotation to go farther than 6 innings? Does the bullpen struggle to hold leads? What relievers pitched the last game and will be unavailable this game? When it comes to baseball, I could provide you an entire article with nothing but questions revolving around the game.
Most baseball gamblers do this already, but for someone just getting involved in baseball betting, it can feel more like a job. If you are up for this sort of “tedious” back-end work, then you’re going to love it.
Betting on a team typically means you are either giving or receiving 1 1/2 runs. Without the proper knowledge behind the game, you might as well flip a coin to pick the team you will root for any given night. In addition, there isn’t really an unwritten rule about “home field advantage” like you would see in NFL football. The best scenario would be someone like Chris Sale, pitcher for the Chicago White Sox.
Sale has recently struck out 10 or more batters in four consecutive games, and his earned run average is ridiculously low. If he was going up against a team that struggles to score runs, it’s probably going to be a good bet right now. Then again, if the opposing pitcher has been just as good, it’s pretty much back to the background knowledge of the game (discussed earlier).
So if you wouldn’t consider yourself a baseball guru, then it’s best to leave baseball betting to the professionals. Otherwise you could end up losing a substantial amount of money in the process.